Yangon City vs Yadanarbon FC

04 Sep 2026 · 11:00

OPPORTUNITY

SLIGHT EDGE HOME +2.8 pp

Yangon City

Yadanarbon FC

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 47.7% DRAW 25.7% AWAY 26.6%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 44.8% 2.18 DRAW 26.4% 3.70 AWAY 28.7% 3.40

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet sees a slight edge for Yangon City relative to the market.

Our calibrated model estimates a 47.7% win probability, compared with 44.8% implied by the market. The 2.8 percentage-point difference suggests a modest divergence from current market expectations.

PERFORMANCE

Attacking Edge: Yadanarbon FC

The home side shows the stronger recent defensive profile, while the attacking comparison is less clear.

Attack Recent attacking output

Yangon City Yadanarbon FC

Shots 3.8 · On target 2.8 Shots 9.3 · On target 3.3

Recent attacking output favours Yadanarbon FC, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Yangon City Yadanarbon FC

Shots allowed 2.0 · On target allowed 1.5 Shots allowed 11.3 · On target allowed 4.8

Yangon City has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Yangon City Yadanarbon FC

The combined recent performance profile favours Yangon City.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Home strengthening

Yangon City ↓ -0.98 (-31.0%)

Yadanarbon FC ↑ +0.70 (+25.9%)

The home price has shortened, indicating stronger market support for the home side.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.