Sligo Rovers vs Galway United

14 Sep 2026 · 20:45

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +0.7 pp

Sligo Rovers

Galway United

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 30.1% DRAW 27.2% AWAY 42.7%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 29.4% 3.25 DRAW 27.3% 3.50 AWAY 43.3% 2.21

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 0.7 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Attacking Edge: Galway United

Recent attacking and defensive numbers do not show a clear overall edge.

Attack Recent attacking output

Sligo Rovers Galway United

Shots 7.3 · On target 1.3 Shots 9.0 · On target 4.5

Recent attacking output favours Galway United, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Sligo Rovers Galway United

Shots allowed 16.0 · On target allowed 5.8 Shots allowed 22.0 · On target allowed 4.8

Recent defensive numbers are broadly balanced between the two teams.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Sligo Rovers Galway United

The combined recent performance profile favours Galway United.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Home weakening

Sligo Rovers ↑ +0.28 (+9.5%)

Galway United ↓ -0.04 (-1.8%)

The home price has moved clearly higher, while the away price has remained broadly stable.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.