Shelbourne vs Drogheda United

14 Sep 2026 · 20:45

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +1.7 pp

Shelbourne

Drogheda United

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 47.5% DRAW 25.9% AWAY 26.7%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 49.0% 1.96 DRAW 26.0% 3.70 AWAY 25.0% 3.85

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 1.7 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Defensive Edge: Drogheda United

The away side shows the stronger recent defensive profile, while the attacking comparison is less clear.

Attack Recent attacking output

Shelbourne Drogheda United

Shots 12.0 · On target 3.5 Shots 12.5 · On target 3.3

Recent attacking output is broadly balanced between the two teams.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Shelbourne Drogheda United

Shots allowed 16.0 · On target allowed 5.8 Shots allowed 12.3 · On target allowed 3.5

Drogheda United has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Shelbourne Drogheda United

The combined recent performance profile is relatively balanced.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Away strengthening

Shelbourne ↑ +0.20 (+11.4%)

Drogheda United ↓ -0.43 (-10.0%)

The away price has shortened, indicating stronger market support for the away side.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.