Ayacucho FC vs Sport Huancayo II

12 Sep 2026 · 20:00

OPPORTUNITY

SLIGHT EDGE AWAY +3.8 pp

Ayacucho FC

Sport Huancayo II

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 41.9% DRAW 30.2% AWAY 27.9%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 46.5% 2.05 DRAW 29.3% 3.25 AWAY 24.1% 3.95

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet sees a slight edge for Sport Huancayo II relative to the market.

Our calibrated model estimates a 27.9% win probability, compared with 24.1% implied by the market. The 3.8 percentage-point difference suggests a modest divergence from current market expectations.

PERFORMANCE

Sport Huancayo II has the stronger recent profile

The away side has the stronger recent profile in both attack and defence.

Attack Recent attacking output

Ayacucho FC Sport Huancayo II

Shots 6.0 · On target 2.3 Shots 14.0 · On target 5.5

Recent attacking output favours Sport Huancayo II, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Ayacucho FC Sport Huancayo II

Shots allowed 9.5 · On target allowed 4.5 Shots allowed 8.5 · On target allowed 2.3

Sport Huancayo II has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Ayacucho FC Sport Huancayo II

The combined recent performance profile favours Sport Huancayo II.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Away strengthening

Ayacucho FC ↑ +0.30 (+17.1%)

Sport Huancayo II ↓ -0.25 (-6.0%)

The away price has shortened, indicating stronger market support for the away side.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.