CD Universidad San Martin vs Academia Deportiva Cantolao

13 Sep 2026 · 22:15

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +2.0 pp

CD Universidad San Martin

Academia Deportiva Cantolao

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 60.6% DRAW 24.0% AWAY 15.4%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 63.4% 1.50 DRAW 23.2% 4.10 AWAY 13.4% 7.11

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 2.0 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Academia Deportiva Cantolao has the stronger recent profile

The away side has the stronger recent profile in both attack and defence.

Attack Recent attacking output

CD Universidad San Martin Academia Deportiva Cantolao

Shots 6.5 · On target 2.3 Shots 10.5 · On target 3.0

Recent attacking output favours Academia Deportiva Cantolao, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

CD Universidad San Martin Academia Deportiva Cantolao

Shots allowed 15.5 · On target allowed 5.8 Shots allowed 12.5 · On target allowed 4.5

Academia Deportiva Cantolao has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

CD Universidad San Martin Academia Deportiva Cantolao

The combined recent performance profile favours Academia Deportiva Cantolao.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Away strengthening

CD Universidad San Martin ↑ +0.17 (+12.5%)

Academia Deportiva Cantolao ↓ -1.49 (-17.3%)

The away price has shortened, indicating stronger market support for the away side.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.