Club Ada Jaen vs Union Comercio

13 Sep 2026 · 22:15

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +2.2 pp

Club Ada Jaen

Union Comercio

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 59.9% DRAW 25.4% AWAY 14.7%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 57.7% 1.63 DRAW 26.1% 3.60 AWAY 16.2% 5.80

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 2.2 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Attacking Edge: Club Ada Jaen

The home side shows the stronger recent attacking profile, while the defensive comparison is less clear.

Attack Recent attacking output

Club Ada Jaen Union Comercio

Shots 12.0 · On target 5.3 Shots 6.8 · On target 2.0

Recent attacking output favours Club Ada Jaen, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Club Ada Jaen Union Comercio

Shots allowed 8.5 · On target allowed 2.8 Shots allowed 8.0 · On target allowed 3.5

Recent defensive numbers are broadly balanced between the two teams.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Club Ada Jaen Union Comercio

The combined recent performance profile favours Club Ada Jaen.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Home strengthening

Club Ada Jaen ↓ -0.97 (-37.3%)

Union Comercio ↑ +3.10 (+114.8%)

The home price has shortened, indicating stronger market support for the home side.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.