Deportivo Binacional vs Alianza Universidad

12 Sep 2026 · 20:00

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +1.4 pp

Deportivo Binacional

Alianza Universidad

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 20.1% DRAW 21.1% AWAY 58.8%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 18.7% 4.80 DRAW 21.4% 4.20 AWAY 59.9% 1.50

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 1.4 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Attacking Edge: Alianza Universidad

Recent attacking and defensive numbers do not show a clear overall edge.

Attack Recent attacking output

Deportivo Binacional Alianza Universidad

Shots 5.0 · On target 1.8 Shots 9.3 · On target 3.3

Recent attacking output favours Alianza Universidad, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Deportivo Binacional Alianza Universidad

Shots allowed 9.8 · On target allowed 4.8 Shots allowed 14.0 · On target allowed 5.8

Deportivo Binacional has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Deportivo Binacional Alianza Universidad

The combined recent performance profile is relatively balanced.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Market broadly stable

Deportivo Binacional = (0.0%)

Alianza Universidad = (0.0%)

No substantial directional movement is visible in the stored odds trend.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.