Dinamo Brest vs BATE Borisov

07 Sep 2026 · 18:30

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +1.2 pp

Dinamo Brest

BATE Borisov

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 57.1% DRAW 24.3% AWAY 18.5%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 55.9% 1.71 DRAW 24.9% 3.84 AWAY 19.1% 5.00

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 1.2 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Attacking Edge: BATE Borisov

The home side shows the stronger recent defensive profile, while the attacking comparison is less clear.

Attack Recent attacking output

Dinamo Brest BATE Borisov

Shots 7.0 · On target 3.0 Shots 7.5 · On target 3.3

Recent attacking output is broadly balanced between the two teams.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Dinamo Brest BATE Borisov

Shots allowed 8.5 · On target allowed 5.3 Shots allowed 12.8 · On target allowed 5.5

Dinamo Brest has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Dinamo Brest BATE Borisov

The combined recent performance profile is relatively balanced.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Home strengthening

Dinamo Brest ↓ -0.21 (-10.9%)

BATE Borisov ↑ +1.34 (+36.6%)

The home price has shortened, indicating stronger market support for the home side.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.