Isloch vs FK Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk

07 Sep 2026 · 16:00

OPPORTUNITY

SLIGHT EDGE HOME +3.5 pp

Isloch

FK Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 77.9% DRAW 15.7% AWAY 6.4%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 74.3% 1.26 DRAW 17.7% 5.30 AWAY 8.0% 11.70

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet sees a slight edge for Isloch relative to the market.

Our calibrated model estimates a 77.9% win probability, compared with 74.3% implied by the market. The 3.5 percentage-point difference suggests a modest divergence from current market expectations.

PERFORMANCE

Isloch has the stronger recent profile

The home side has the stronger recent profile in both attack and defence.

Attack Recent attacking output

Isloch FK Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk

Shots 11.0 · On target 6.0 Shots 8.8 · On target 1.8

Recent attacking output favours Isloch, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Isloch FK Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk

Shots allowed 7.5 · On target allowed 2.8 Shots allowed 14.3 · On target allowed 7.3

Isloch has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Isloch FK Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk

The combined recent performance profile favours Isloch.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Away strengthening

Isloch ↑ +0.03 (+2.4%)

FK Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk ↓ -3.00 (-20.4%)

The away price has shortened, indicating stronger market support for the away side.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.