Khor Fakkan vs Baniyas SC

11 Sep 2026 · 15:40

OPPORTUNITY

SLIGHT EDGE AWAY +3.6 pp

Khor Fakkan

Baniyas SC

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 31.1% DRAW 24.0% AWAY 44.9%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 33.7% 2.82 DRAW 24.9% 3.82 AWAY 41.4% 2.30

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet sees a slight edge for Baniyas SC relative to the market.

Our calibrated model estimates a 44.9% win probability, compared with 41.4% implied by the market. The 3.6 percentage-point difference suggests a modest divergence from current market expectations.

PERFORMANCE

Baniyas SC has the stronger recent profile

The away side has the stronger recent profile in both attack and defence.

Attack Recent attacking output

Khor Fakkan Baniyas SC

Shots 5.3 · On target 2.5 Shots 13.3 · On target 5.8

Recent attacking output favours Baniyas SC, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Khor Fakkan Baniyas SC

Shots allowed 18.0 · On target allowed 7.5 Shots allowed 16.5 · On target allowed 7.5

Recent defensive numbers are broadly balanced between the two teams.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Khor Fakkan Baniyas SC

The combined recent performance profile favours Baniyas SC.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Away strengthening

Khor Fakkan ↑ +0.31 (+12.4%)

Baniyas SC ↓ -0.21 (-8.4%)

The away price has shortened, indicating stronger market support for the away side.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.