Hatta Dubai vs Al Dhafra SCC

11 Sep 2026 · 15:40

OPPORTUNITY

SLIGHT EDGE AWAY +3.1 pp

Hatta Dubai

Al Dhafra SCC

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 29.1% DRAW 25.7% AWAY 45.2%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 31.5% 3.02 DRAW 26.4% 3.61 AWAY 42.1% 2.26

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet sees a slight edge for Al Dhafra SCC relative to the market.

Our calibrated model estimates a 45.2% win probability, compared with 42.1% implied by the market. The 3.1 percentage-point difference suggests a modest divergence from current market expectations.

PERFORMANCE

Al Dhafra SCC has the stronger recent profile

The away side has the stronger recent profile in both attack and defence.

Attack Recent attacking output

Hatta Dubai Al Dhafra SCC

Shots 8.3 · On target 3.8 Shots 10.5 · On target 4.3

Recent attacking output is broadly balanced between the two teams.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Hatta Dubai Al Dhafra SCC

Shots allowed 18.0 · On target allowed 8.8 Shots allowed 13.3 · On target allowed 4.8

Al Dhafra SCC has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Hatta Dubai Al Dhafra SCC

The combined recent performance profile favours Al Dhafra SCC.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Market broadly stable

Hatta Dubai ↑ +0.22 (+7.9%)

Al Dhafra SCC ↑ +0.11 (+5.1%)

No substantial directional movement is visible in the stored odds trend.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.