Al Jazira SC vs Al Nasr SC

10 Sep 2026 · 15:40

OPPORTUNITY

CLEAR EDGE HOME +4.4 pp

Al Jazira SC

Al Nasr SC

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 67.5% DRAW 18.1% AWAY 14.4%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 63.1% 1.51 DRAW 20.1% 4.74 AWAY 16.9% 5.64

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet rates Al Jazira SC clearly higher than the market does.

Our calibrated model estimates a 67.5% win probability, compared with 63.1% implied by the market. The 4.4 percentage-point difference indicates a clear divergence from current market expectations.

PERFORMANCE

Al Jazira SC has the stronger recent profile

The home side has the stronger recent profile in both attack and defence.

Attack Recent attacking output

Al Jazira SC Al Nasr SC

Shots 13.3 · On target 6.3 Shots 11.3 · On target 3.5

Recent attacking output favours Al Jazira SC, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Al Jazira SC Al Nasr SC

Shots allowed 9.5 · On target allowed 2.0 Shots allowed 15.3 · On target allowed 4.8

Al Jazira SC has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Al Jazira SC Al Nasr SC

The combined recent performance profile favours Al Jazira SC.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Away weakening

Al Jazira SC ↓ -0.04 (-2.8%)

Al Nasr SC ↑ +0.67 (+13.5%)

The away price has moved clearly higher, while the home price has remained broadly stable.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.