Estudiantes LP vs Corinthians

10 Sep 2026 · 02:30

OPPORTUNITY

Estudiantes LP

Corinthians

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 39.6% DRAW 36.5% AWAY 24.0%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 40.6% 2.40 DRAW 35.2% 2.77 AWAY 24.3% 4.01

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 0.0 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Attacking Edge: Estudiantes LP

Recent attacking and defensive numbers do not show a clear overall edge.

Attack Recent attacking output

Estudiantes LP Corinthians

Shots 14.3 · On target 5.5 Shots 13.5 · On target 3.8

Recent attacking output favours Estudiantes LP, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Estudiantes LP Corinthians

Shots allowed 11.8 · On target allowed 4.0 Shots allowed 8.8 · On target allowed 3.3

Corinthians has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Estudiantes LP Corinthians

The combined recent performance profile is relatively balanced.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Market broadly stable

Estudiantes LP ↑ +0.15 (+6.5%)

Corinthians ↑ +0.31 (+8.2%)

No substantial directional movement is visible in the stored odds trend.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.