Alhama CF (W) vs Fundacion Albacete (W)

08 Sep 2026 · 19:30

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +1.9 pp

Alhama CF (W)

Fundacion Albacete (W)

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 56.1% DRAW 21.8% AWAY 22.1%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 54.2% 1.77 DRAW 22.8% 4.20 AWAY 23.0% 4.17

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 1.9 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Attacking Edge: Alhama CF (W)

The home side shows the stronger recent attacking profile, while the defensive comparison is less clear.

Attack Recent attacking output

Alhama CF (W) Fundacion Albacete (W)

Shots 9.0 · On target 4.5 Shots 6.8 · On target 4.0

Recent attacking output favours Alhama CF (W), combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Alhama CF (W) Fundacion Albacete (W)

Shots allowed 11.3 · On target allowed 6.0 Shots allowed 12.8 · On target allowed 5.8

Recent defensive numbers are broadly balanced between the two teams.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Alhama CF (W) Fundacion Albacete (W)

The combined recent performance profile is relatively balanced.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Home weakening

Alhama CF (W) ↑ +0.24 (+15.5%)

Fundacion Albacete (W) ↓ -0.03 (-0.7%)

The home price has moved clearly higher, while the away price has remained broadly stable.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.