Balears FC (W) vs Villarreal (W)

09 Sep 2026 · 18:30

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +1.9 pp

Balears FC (W)

Villarreal (W)

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 9.2% DRAW 17.2% AWAY 73.6%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 7.3% 13.10 DRAW 16.0% 6.00 AWAY 76.7% 1.25

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 1.9 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Defensive Edge: Balears FC (W)

The home side shows the stronger recent defensive profile, while the attacking comparison is less clear.

Attack Recent attacking output

Balears FC (W) Villarreal (W)

Shots 7.0 · On target 3.0 Shots 5.8 · On target 4.5

Recent attacking output is broadly balanced between the two teams.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Balears FC (W) Villarreal (W)

Shots allowed 8.3 · On target allowed 4.0 Shots allowed 12.0 · On target allowed 7.5

Balears FC (W) has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Balears FC (W) Villarreal (W)

The combined recent performance profile is relatively balanced.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Away strengthening

Balears FC (W) ↑ +6.02 (+85.0%)

Villarreal (W) ↓ -0.15 (-10.7%)

The away price has shortened, indicating stronger market support for the away side.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.