FC Arges Pitesti vs FCSB

02 Sep 2026 · 20:30

OPPORTUNITY

CLEAR HOME +8.4 pp

FC Arges Pitesti

FCSB

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 42.6% DRAW 26.9% AWAY 30.5%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 34.2% 2.63 DRAW 27.6% 3.25 AWAY 38.2% 2.35

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet rates FC Arges Pitesti significantly higher than the market does.

Our model estimates a 42.6% win probability, compared with 34.2% implied by the market. This 8.4 percentage-point gap, supported by 193 historically comparable matches, highlights a significant divergence from current market expectations.

PERFORMANCE

FCSB has the stronger recent profile

The away side has the stronger recent profile in both attack and defence.

Attack Recent attacking output

FC Arges Pitesti FCSB

Shots 13.5 · On target 2.3 Shots 18.0 · On target 6.3

Recent attacking output favours FCSB, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

FC Arges Pitesti FCSB

Shots allowed 15.0 · On target allowed 3.8 Shots allowed 10.5 · On target allowed 3.0

FCSB has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

FC Arges Pitesti FCSB

The combined recent performance profile favours FCSB.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Away weakening

FC Arges Pitesti ↑ +0.01 (+0.4%)

FCSB ↑ +0.38 (+16.0%)

The away price has moved clearly higher, while the home price has remained broadly stable.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.