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Romania Cup · RO

ACS UTA Batrana Doamna vs FC Botosani

27 Oct 2026 · 18:00
FOOTBALL MATCH INTELLIGENCE · MATCH OVERVIEW

Match Overview

Model vs Market

The model identifies a moderate model-market difference for a home win for ACS UTA Batrana Doamna. The model and market assessments show a noticeable divergence.

Recent Performance

The home side have enjoyed a strong sequence of recent results. Across the matches with available shooting data, they have generated considerably more attempts than they have conceded.

The visitors have experienced mixed results recently. They have faced considerably more attempts than they have produced.

Pre-Match Betting Perspective

Despite the positive model-market difference, the available Pinnacle pre-match reference odds of 1.89 do not exceed the model's estimated fair odds of approximately 1.92. At this price, a home win for ACS UTA Batrana Doamna does not appear sufficiently attractive. A more favourable price before kick-off would be needed.

Statistical Context & Data Notes

Historical samples may involve different opponents, competitions and dates; shared fixtures are not independent. Missing shooting data are excluded. No xG, shot-quality or opponent-strength adjustment. Editorial selection thresholds are not significance tests; no prediction is implied.

Historical performance provides context rather than a prediction of the final result.

FOOTBALL MATCH INTELLIGENCE

Model vs Market

MARKET · PINNACLE
HOME MODEL > MARKET
ACS UTA Batrana Doamna
STOCHASTICBET 52.1%
PINNACLE 48.4% odd 1.89
DIFFERENCE +3.7 pp
DRAW
Draw
STOCHASTICBET 26.5%
PINNACLE 27.2% odd 3.36
DIFFERENCE -0.7 pp
AWAY
FC Botosani
STOCHASTICBET 21.4%
PINNACLE 24.4% odd 3.75
DIFFERENCE -3.0 pp
STOCHASTICBET
PINNACLE MARKET
Market · PINNACLE Snapshot · 27 Oct 2026 · 10:01
PERFORMANCE · LAST 4 MATCHES

ACS UTA Batrana Doamna has the stronger recent profile

The home side has the stronger recent profile in both attack and defence.

Attack Recent attacking output
ACS UTA Batrana Doamna FC Botosani
Shots 20.3 · On target 6.3 Shots 11.5 · On target 4.3

Recent attacking output favours ACS UTA Batrana Doamna, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance
ACS UTA Batrana Doamna FC Botosani
Shots allowed 11.8 · On target allowed 3.8 Shots allowed 16.5 · On target allowed 5.5

ACS UTA Batrana Doamna has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence
ACS UTA Batrana Doamna FC Botosani

The combined recent performance profile favours ACS UTA Batrana Doamna.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

Market Momentum

Normalized implied probability movement · percentage points · as of 2026-10-27 14:43:01

6h window

OutcomePinnacleBet365
HOME +0.00 pp -0.15 pp
DRAW +0.00 pp -0.09 pp
AWAY +0.00 pp +0.24 pp

No qualified strong agreement in this window.

24h window

OutcomePinnacleBet365
HOME -0.23 pp -1.10 pp
DRAW -0.01 pp +0.10 pp
AWAY +0.24 pp +1.00 pp

No qualified strong agreement in this window.

Based on available observation endpoints; continuous coverage is not verified. Unavailable values are not zero movements. Market movement is descriptive, not a prediction.

Explore recent match statisticsCharts and detailed data
RECENT FORM · LAST 6 MATCHES

Recent matches compared

These charts compare recent performance with the league average. The central line represents the benchmark: values to the right are higher and values to the left are lower. Higher values are not always better, particularly for defensive metrics.
Benchmark: Romania Cup · 94 matches with scores · 33 with shots · coverage 35.1%.
Historical window: 180 days before kickoff. Shooting benchmarks require at least 30 complete matches.

How have the teams performed recently?

Most recent first · W win · D draw · L loss

ACS UTA Batrana Doamna6 matches · 3 home / 3 away
WWLWWL
Shot data available for 5/6 matches
FC Botosani6 matches · 3 home / 3 away
LLWLDW
Shot data available for 6/6 matches

Shots taken

Shots per match · difference from league average

0 = league average
ACS UTA Batrana DoamnaHome team
+7.716.6 actual
FC BotosaniAway team
+2.210.8 actual
ACS UTA Batrana Doamna: 16.6 · league average 8.9 · 5 valid matchesFC Botosani: 10.8 · league average 8.7 · 6 valid matches

Shots conceded

Opposition shots per match · difference from league average

0 = league average
ACS UTA Batrana DoamnaHome team
+2.010.4 actual
FC BotosaniAway team
+5.714.3 actual
ACS UTA Batrana Doamna: 10.4 · league average 8.4 · 5 valid matchesFC Botosani: 14.3 · league average 8.7 · 6 valid matches

Shots on target

Shots on target per match · difference from league average

0 = league average
ACS UTA Batrana DoamnaHome team
+1.45.4 actual
FC BotosaniAway team
+0.64.5 actual
ACS UTA Batrana Doamna: 5.4 · league average 4.1 · 5 valid matchesFC Botosani: 4.5 · league average 3.9 · 6 valid matches

Shots on target conceded

Opposition shots on target per match · difference from league average

0 = league average
ACS UTA Batrana DoamnaHome team
+0.34.0 actual
FC BotosaniAway team
+0.34.2 actual
ACS UTA Batrana Doamna: 4.0 · league average 3.7 · 5 valid matchesFC Botosani: 4.2 · league average 3.9 · 6 valid matches

Goals scored

Goals per match · difference from league average

0 = league average
ACS UTA Batrana DoamnaHome team
−0.641.00 actual
FC BotosaniAway team
+0.031.67 actual
ACS UTA Batrana Doamna: 1.00 · league average 1.64 · 6 valid matchesFC Botosani: 1.67 · league average 1.64 · 6 valid matches

Shot conversion

Goals per shot · difference from league average in percentage points

0 = league average
ACS UTA Batrana DoamnaHome team
−14.0 pp6.0% actual
FC BotosaniAway team
−4.2 pp15.4% actual
ACS UTA Batrana Doamna: 6.0% · league average 20.1% · 5 valid matchesFC Botosani: 15.4% · league average 19.6% · 6 valid matches

Goals conceded per shots faced

Goals conceded per opposition shot · difference from league average in percentage points

0 = league average
ACS UTA Batrana DoamnaHome team
−7.5 pp11.5% actual
FC BotosaniAway team
−9.1 pp10.5% actual
ACS UTA Batrana Doamna: 11.5% · league average 19.1% · 5 valid matchesFC Botosani: 10.5% · league average 19.6% · 6 valid matches

Individual match details

ACS UTA Batrana Doamna · individual matches
DateVenueResultShots for/againstOn target for/against
24/10/2026Away1–015 / 125 / 2
18/10/2026Home1–026 / 69 / 2
10/10/2026Away0–212 / 213 / 10
02/10/2026Home1–0——
18/09/2026Home1–028 / 88 / 1
11/09/2026Away2–42 / 52 / 5
FC Botosani · individual matches
DateVenueResultShots for/againstOn target for/against
23/10/2026Home1–312 / 115 / 4
16/10/2026Away0–27 / 261 / 7
10/10/2026Home2–021 / 1210 / 3
19/09/2026Away1–36 / 171 / 8
13/09/2026Away1–15 / 103 / 2
05/09/2026Home5–014 / 107 / 1

The recent matches are the latest available before kickoff within the historical window and may include other competitions. The benchmark refers to the event league and is weighted by the home/away composition of the recent sample. Goals and shots may have different data coverage; conversion rates use only matches with paired observations. Benchmarks are reconstructed from match dates rather than certified data-capture timestamps. Opponent strength and chance quality (xG) are not adjusted for. Some statistics may be incomplete or anomalous. These indicators are descriptive, not predictive.