Tekstilshik Ivanovo vs Torpedo Moscow

04 Sep 2026 · 18:30

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +2.5 pp

Tekstilshik Ivanovo

Torpedo Moscow

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 13.4% DRAW 24.0% AWAY 62.6%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 15.1% 6.33 DRAW 24.8% 3.86 AWAY 60.2% 1.59

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 2.5 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Torpedo Moscow has the stronger recent profile

The away side has the stronger recent profile in both attack and defence.

Attack Recent attacking output

Tekstilshik Ivanovo Torpedo Moscow

Shots 3.3 · On target 1.3 Shots 8.5 · On target 5.0

Recent attacking output favours Torpedo Moscow, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Tekstilshik Ivanovo Torpedo Moscow

Shots allowed 9.3 · On target allowed 4.0 Shots allowed 5.0 · On target allowed 2.8

Torpedo Moscow has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Tekstilshik Ivanovo Torpedo Moscow

The combined recent performance profile favours Torpedo Moscow.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Home strengthening

Tekstilshik Ivanovo ↓ -0.79 (-11.1%)

Torpedo Moscow ↑ +0.01 (+0.6%)

The home price has shortened, indicating stronger market support for the home side.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.