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Albania First Division · AL

KS Korabi Peshkopi vs KS Burreli

28 Oct 2026 · 13:30
FOOTBALL MATCH INTELLIGENCE · MATCH OVERVIEW

Match Overview

Model vs Market

The model identifies a moderate model-market difference for an away win for KS Burreli. The model and market assessments show a noticeable divergence.

Recent Performance

The home side have experienced mixed results recently. Finding the net has been a recurring difficulty. Across the matches with available shooting data, they have faced considerably more attempts than they have produced.

The visitors have experienced mixed results recently. Across the matches with available shooting data, the exchange of attempts has been broadly balanced.

Pre-Match Betting Perspective

The available Bet365 pre-match reference odds of 3.75 exceed the model's estimated fair odds of approximately 3.53. This suggests a potential pricing advantage for an away win for KS Burreli, although the difference alone is not enough to establish a reliable betting opportunity. The assessment applies only before kick-off.

Statistical Context & Data Notes

Historical samples may involve different opponents, competitions and dates; shared fixtures are not independent. Missing shooting data are excluded. No xG, shot-quality or opponent-strength adjustment. Editorial selection thresholds are not significance tests; no prediction is implied.

Historical performance provides context rather than a prediction of the final result.

FOOTBALL MATCH INTELLIGENCE

Model vs Market

MARKET · BET365
HOME
KS Korabi Peshkopi
STOCHASTICBET 42.6%
BET365 48.7% odd 1.83
DIFFERENCE -6.1 pp
DRAW
Draw
STOCHASTICBET 29.1%
BET365 27.5% odd 3.25
DIFFERENCE +1.6 pp
AWAY MODEL > MARKET
KS Burreli
STOCHASTICBET 28.3%
BET365 23.8% odd 3.75
DIFFERENCE +4.5 pp
STOCHASTICBET
BET365 MARKET
Market · BET365 Snapshot · 28 Oct 2026 · 13:01
PERFORMANCE · LAST 4 MATCHES

KS Burreli has the stronger recent profile

The away side has the stronger recent profile in both attack and defence.

Attack Recent attacking output
KS Korabi Peshkopi KS Burreli
Shots 5.0 · On target 1.0 Shots 8.8 · On target 2.0

Recent attacking output favours KS Burreli, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance
KS Korabi Peshkopi KS Burreli
Shots allowed 8.3 · On target allowed 4.0 Shots allowed 7.5 · On target allowed 2.3

KS Burreli has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence
KS Korabi Peshkopi KS Burreli

The combined recent performance profile favours KS Burreli.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

Explore recent match statisticsCharts and detailed data
RECENT FORM · LAST 6 MATCHES

Recent matches compared

These charts compare recent performance with the league average. The central line represents the benchmark: values to the right are higher and values to the left are lower. Higher values are not always better, particularly for defensive metrics.
Benchmark: Albania First Division · 52 matches with scores · 41 with shots · coverage 78.9%.
Historical window: 180 days before kickoff. Shooting benchmarks require at least 30 complete matches.

How have the teams performed recently?

Most recent first · W win · D draw · L loss

KS Korabi Peshkopi6 matches · 4 home / 2 away
LDLWLD
Shot data available for 5/6 matches
KS Burreli6 matches · 4 home / 2 away
LLDLWL
Shot data available for 5/6 matches

Shots taken

Shots per match · difference from league average

0 = league average
KS Korabi PeshkopiHome team
−2.96.8 actual
KS BurreliAway team
−1.38.4 actual
KS Korabi Peshkopi: 6.8 · league average 9.7 · 5 valid matchesKS Burreli: 8.4 · league average 9.7 · 5 valid matches

Shots conceded

Opposition shots per match · difference from league average

0 = league average
KS Korabi PeshkopiHome team
+0.59.8 actual
KS BurreliAway team
−1.28.2 actual
KS Korabi Peshkopi: 9.8 · league average 9.4 · 5 valid matchesKS Burreli: 8.2 · league average 9.4 · 5 valid matches

Shots on target

Shots on target per match · difference from league average

0 = league average
KS Korabi PeshkopiHome team
−2.12.0 actual
KS BurreliAway team
−2.12.0 actual
KS Korabi Peshkopi: 2.0 · league average 4.1 · 5 valid matchesKS Burreli: 2.0 · league average 4.1 · 5 valid matches

Shots on target conceded

Opposition shots on target per match · difference from league average

0 = league average
KS Korabi PeshkopiHome team
+0.74.6 actual
KS BurreliAway team
−1.12.8 actual
KS Korabi Peshkopi: 4.6 · league average 3.9 · 5 valid matchesKS Burreli: 2.8 · league average 3.9 · 5 valid matches

Goals scored

Goals per match · difference from league average

0 = league average
KS Korabi PeshkopiHome team
−0.790.50 actual
KS BurreliAway team
−0.460.83 actual
KS Korabi Peshkopi: 0.50 · league average 1.29 · 6 valid matchesKS Burreli: 0.83 · league average 1.29 · 6 valid matches

Shot conversion

Goals per shot · difference from league average in percentage points

0 = league average
KS Korabi PeshkopiHome team
−9.8 pp2.9% actual
KS BurreliAway team
−5.6 pp7.1% actual
KS Korabi Peshkopi: 2.9% · league average 12.7% · 5 valid matchesKS Burreli: 7.1% · league average 12.7% · 5 valid matches

Goals conceded per shots faced

Goals conceded per opposition shot · difference from league average in percentage points

0 = league average
KS Korabi PeshkopiHome team
+4.1 pp16.3% actual
KS BurreliAway team
+2.4 pp14.6% actual
KS Korabi Peshkopi: 16.3% · league average 12.2% · 5 valid matchesKS Burreli: 14.6% · league average 12.2% · 5 valid matches

Individual match details

KS Korabi Peshkopi · individual matches
DateVenueResultShots for/againstOn target for/against
24/10/2026Away0–22 / 60 / 2
17/10/2026Home0–03 / 70 / 2
11/10/2026Home0–29 / 112 / 5
07/10/2026Home2–1——
20/09/2026Away0–36 / 92 / 7
16/09/2026Home1–114 / 166 / 7
KS Burreli · individual matches
DateVenueResultShots for/againstOn target for/against
24/10/2026Home1–211 / 124 / 3
17/10/2026Away0–11 / 40 / 2
11/10/2026Home0–08 / 50 / 1
07/10/2026Home2–3——
20/09/2026Away1–015 / 94 / 3
16/09/2026Home1–37 / 112 / 5

The recent matches are the latest available before kickoff within the historical window and may include other competitions. The benchmark refers to the event league and is weighted by the home/away composition of the recent sample. Goals and shots may have different data coverage; conversion rates use only matches with paired observations. Benchmarks are reconstructed from match dates rather than certified data-capture timestamps. Opponent strength and chance quality (xG) are not adjusted for. Some statistics may be incomplete or anomalous. These indicators are descriptive, not predictive.