Al Nasr SC U23 vs Al Jazira SC U23

11 Sep 2026 · 15:40

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +0.6 pp

Al Nasr SC U23

Al Jazira SC U23

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 26.9% DRAW 25.0% AWAY 48.1%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 27.0% 3.59 DRAW 25.5% 3.80 AWAY 47.5% 2.04

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 0.6 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Attacking Edge: Al Nasr SC U23

The away side shows the stronger recent defensive profile, while the attacking comparison is less clear.

Attack Recent attacking output

Al Nasr SC U23 Al Jazira SC U23

Shots 10.0 · On target 4.8 Shots 6.5 · On target 2.3

Recent attacking output favours Al Nasr SC U23, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Al Nasr SC U23 Al Jazira SC U23

Shots allowed 13.3 · On target allowed 7.0 Shots allowed 6.3 · On target allowed 3.0

Al Jazira SC U23 has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Al Nasr SC U23 Al Jazira SC U23

The combined recent performance profile is relatively balanced.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Home weakening

Al Nasr SC U23 ↑ +0.84 (+30.4%)

Al Jazira SC U23 ↓ -0.01 (-0.5%)

The home price has moved clearly higher, while the away price has remained broadly stable.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.