Sardarapat FC vs Alashkert FC

13 Sep 2026 · 14:00

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +2.4 pp

Sardarapat FC

Alashkert FC

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 11.4% DRAW 20.0% AWAY 68.7%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 12.7% 7.41 DRAW 21.0% 4.47 AWAY 66.3% 1.42

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 2.4 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Alashkert FC has the stronger recent profile

The away side has the stronger recent profile in both attack and defence.

Attack Recent attacking output

Sardarapat FC Alashkert FC

Shots 10.3 · On target 5.8 Shots 16.5 · On target 6.8

Recent attacking output favours Alashkert FC, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Sardarapat FC Alashkert FC

Shots allowed 12.8 · On target allowed 5.3 Shots allowed 7.5 · On target allowed 2.5

Alashkert FC has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Sardarapat FC Alashkert FC

The combined recent performance profile favours Alashkert FC.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Home strengthening

Sardarapat FC ↓ -0.54 (-6.8%)

Alashkert FC ↑ +0.04 (+2.9%)

The home price has shortened, indicating stronger market support for the home side.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.