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Armenia Premier League · AM

FC Urartu vs FC Noah

12 Sep 2026 · 18:00
NEAR MARKET +2.1 pp
FC Urartu
FC Noah
HOME 14.6% DRAW 23.3% AWAY 62.1%
HOME 16.0% 6.04 DRAW 24.0% 4.02 AWAY 60.0% 1.61

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 2.1 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

FC Noah has the stronger recent profile

The away side has the stronger recent profile in both attack and defence.

Attack Recent attacking output
FC Urartu FC Noah
Shots 9.3 · On target 5.3 Shots 12.8 · On target 5.3

Recent attacking output is broadly balanced between the two teams.

Defence Recent defensive resistance
FC Urartu FC Noah
Shots allowed 10.3 · On target allowed 3.3 Shots allowed 2.8 · On target allowed 1.0

FC Noah has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence
FC Urartu FC Noah

The combined recent performance profile favours FC Noah.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Away strengthening

FC Urartu ↑ +1.90 (+45.9%)
FC Noah ↓ -0.15 (-8.5%)

The away price has shortened, indicating stronger market support for the away side.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.