Shirak vs Sardarapat FC

06 Sep 2026 · 17:00

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +0.6 pp

Shirak

Sardarapat FC

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 40.2% DRAW 27.9% AWAY 31.9%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 39.6% 2.38 DRAW 28.1% 3.35 AWAY 32.3% 2.92

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 0.6 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Attacking Edge: Sardarapat FC

Recent attacking and defensive numbers do not show a clear overall edge.

Attack Recent attacking output

Shirak Sardarapat FC

Shots 7.8 · On target 4.0 Shots 11.0 · On target 6.5

Recent attacking output favours Sardarapat FC, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Shirak Sardarapat FC

Shots allowed 8.0 · On target allowed 3.8 Shots allowed 13.8 · On target allowed 4.3

Shirak has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Shirak Sardarapat FC

The combined recent performance profile is relatively balanced.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Home strengthening

Shirak ↓ -0.71 (-22.9%)

Sardarapat FC ↑ +0.77 (+35.8%)

The home price has shortened, indicating stronger market support for the home side.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.