FC Noah vs Gandzasar Kapan

04 Sep 2026 · 18:00

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +2.1 pp

FC Noah

Gandzasar Kapan

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 87.4% DRAW 9.4% AWAY 3.2%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 85.3% 1.11 DRAW 10.9% 8.68 AWAY 3.8% 25.00

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 2.1 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

FC Noah has the stronger recent profile

The home side has the stronger recent profile in both attack and defence.

Attack Recent attacking output

FC Noah Gandzasar Kapan

Shots 12.8 · On target 5.0 Shots 11.3 · On target 2.3

Recent attacking output favours FC Noah, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

FC Noah Gandzasar Kapan

Shots allowed 6.5 · On target allowed 1.8 Shots allowed 14.5 · On target allowed 6.0

FC Noah has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

FC Noah Gandzasar Kapan

The combined recent performance profile favours FC Noah.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Away weakening

FC Noah ↓ -0.03 (-2.7%)

Gandzasar Kapan ↑ +3.00 (+13.6%)

The away price has moved clearly higher, while the home price has remained broadly stable.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.