Al Qadsia SC vs Al Naser SC

04 Sep 2026 · 17:35

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +0.2 pp

Al Qadsia SC

Al Naser SC

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 58.8% DRAW 23.9% AWAY 17.3%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 58.6% 1.65 DRAW 24.2% 3.99 AWAY 17.2% 5.61

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 0.2 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Attacking Edge: Al Naser SC

Recent attacking and defensive numbers do not show a clear overall edge.

Attack Recent attacking output

Al Qadsia SC Al Naser SC

Shots 10.5 · On target 5.8 Shots 13.0 · On target 7.5

Recent attacking output favours Al Naser SC, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Al Qadsia SC Al Naser SC

Shots allowed 7.0 · On target allowed 3.5 Shots allowed 12.5 · On target allowed 3.5

Al Qadsia SC has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Al Qadsia SC Al Naser SC

The combined recent performance profile is relatively balanced.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Market broadly stable

Al Qadsia SC ↑ +0.10 (+6.5%)

Al Naser SC ↑ +0.61 (+12.2%)

No substantial directional movement is visible in the stored odds trend.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.