Ferroviario U20 vs EC de Patos U20

10 Sep 2026 · 20:00

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +1.1 pp

Ferroviario U20

EC de Patos U20

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 57.8% DRAW 22.8% AWAY 19.5%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 58.6% 1.57 DRAW 23.0% 4.00 AWAY 18.3% 5.02

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 1.1 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Attacking Edge: EC de Patos U20

The away side shows the stronger recent attacking profile, while the defensive comparison is less clear.

Attack Recent attacking output

Ferroviario U20 EC de Patos U20

Shots 7.0 · On target 2.3 Shots 12.8 · On target 4.3

Recent attacking output favours EC de Patos U20, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Ferroviario U20 EC de Patos U20

Shots allowed 13.0 · On target allowed 6.3 Shots allowed 18.3 · On target allowed 5.5

Recent defensive numbers are broadly balanced between the two teams.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Ferroviario U20 EC de Patos U20

The combined recent performance profile favours EC de Patos U20.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Away weakening

Ferroviario U20 = (0.0%)

EC de Patos U20 ↑ +0.52 (+11.6%)

The away price has moved clearly higher, while the home price has remained broadly stable.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.