Atletico Paranaense U20 vs Luverdense U20

16 Sep 2026 · 20:00

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +1.0 pp

Atletico Paranaense U20

Luverdense U20

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 83.2% DRAW 10.1% AWAY 6.7%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 83.8% 1.15 DRAW 10.5% 9.20 AWAY 5.7% 17.00

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 1.0 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Attacking Edge: Luverdense U20

The away side shows the stronger recent attacking profile, while the defensive comparison is less clear.

Attack Recent attacking output

Atletico Paranaense U20 Luverdense U20

Shots 9.5 · On target 3.8 Shots 12.8 · On target 6.8

Recent attacking output favours Luverdense U20, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Atletico Paranaense U20 Luverdense U20

Shots allowed 12.3 · On target allowed 4.3 Shots allowed 11.0 · On target allowed 5.5

Recent defensive numbers are broadly balanced between the two teams.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Atletico Paranaense U20 Luverdense U20

The combined recent performance profile is relatively balanced.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Away weakening

Atletico Paranaense U20 ↑ +0.03 (+2.2%)

Luverdense U20 ↑ +6.00 (+54.5%)

The away price has moved clearly higher, while the home price has remained broadly stable.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.