England Championship
·
GB
Derby vs Swansea
29 Aug 2026 · 13:30
MARKET CONSENSUS
Home Lean
Home
40.7%
Draw
29.1%
Away
30.3%
Consensus based on 5 bookmakers after removing the bookmaker margin. The leading outcome is ahead by 10.4 percentage points.
PERFORMANCE
Attacking Edge: Derby
The away side shows the stronger recent defensive profile, while the attacking comparison is less clear.
Attack
| Derby | Swansea | |
|---|---|---|
| Shots / match | 10.5 | 10.0 |
| On target / match | 3.3 | 2.5 |
Defence
| Derby | Swansea | |
|---|---|---|
| Shots allowed / match | 13.3 | 6.8 |
| On target allowed / match | 4.5 | 1.5 |
Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.
MARKET MOVEMENT
Market broadly stable
Derby
↑ +0.08
(+3.5%)
Swansea
↓ -0.03
(-0.9%)
No substantial directional movement is visible in the stored odds trend.
Latest movement from the stored odds trend.
STOCHASTIC VIEW
Quantitative context
Performance4
-0.503
Shot rating
-24
Shots-on-target rating
-9
Qualified model signal
None
INTERPRETATION
Unclear
Market and recent performance do not provide a clear common direction.
No direct betting recommendation is generated.