NEC FC Bugolobi vs URA

15 Sep 2026 · 15:00

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +0.8 pp

NEC FC Bugolobi

URA

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 48.7% DRAW 30.9% AWAY 20.4%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 50.2% 1.82 DRAW 30.1% 3.04 AWAY 19.7% 4.65

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 0.8 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Defensive Edge: URA

Recent attacking and defensive numbers do not show a clear overall edge.

Attack Recent attacking output

NEC FC Bugolobi URA

Shots 12.5 · On target 4.5 Shots 10.3 · On target 6.3

Recent attacking output is broadly balanced between the two teams.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

NEC FC Bugolobi URA

Shots allowed 9.8 · On target allowed 4.5 Shots allowed 8.3 · On target allowed 2.8

URA has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

NEC FC Bugolobi URA

The combined recent performance profile is relatively balanced.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Market broadly stable

NEC FC Bugolobi ↑ +0.02 (+1.1%)

URA ↑ +0.31 (+7.2%)

No substantial directional movement is visible in the stored odds trend.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.