Entebbe UPPC vs Lugazi FC

09 Sep 2026 · 15:00

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +1.9 pp

Entebbe UPPC

Lugazi FC

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 59.4% DRAW 26.5% AWAY 14.1%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 57.5% 1.55 DRAW 27.0% 3.30 AWAY 15.5% 5.75

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 1.9 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Entebbe UPPC has the stronger recent profile

The home side has the stronger recent profile in both attack and defence.

Attack Recent attacking output

Entebbe UPPC Lugazi FC

Shots 10.8 · On target 3.8 Shots 7.8 · On target 3.0

Recent attacking output favours Entebbe UPPC, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Entebbe UPPC Lugazi FC

Shots allowed 11.3 · On target allowed 2.8 Shots allowed 13.0 · On target allowed 5.8

Entebbe UPPC has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Entebbe UPPC Lugazi FC

The combined recent performance profile favours Entebbe UPPC.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Market broadly stable

Entebbe UPPC = (0.0%)

Lugazi FC = (0.0%)

No substantial directional movement is visible in the stored odds trend.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.