Kigezi Homeboyz FC vs KCCA

08 Sep 2026 · 15:00

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +1.9 pp

Kigezi Homeboyz FC

KCCA

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 22.9% DRAW 30.1% AWAY 47.0%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 24.8% 3.67 DRAW 30.1% 3.02 AWAY 45.2% 2.01

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 1.9 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

KCCA has the stronger recent profile

The away side has the stronger recent profile in both attack and defence.

Attack Recent attacking output

Kigezi Homeboyz FC KCCA

Shots 6.8 · On target 2.5 Shots 9.0 · On target 2.8

Recent attacking output is broadly balanced between the two teams.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Kigezi Homeboyz FC KCCA

Shots allowed 13.8 · On target allowed 6.3 Shots allowed 9.3 · On target allowed 3.0

KCCA has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Kigezi Homeboyz FC KCCA

The combined recent performance profile favours KCCA.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Market broadly stable

Kigezi Homeboyz FC ↑ +0.07 (+1.8%)

KCCA ↑ +0.01 (+0.5%)

No substantial directional movement is visible in the stored odds trend.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.