Maroons vs Blacks Power

08 Sep 2026 · 15:00

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +0.4 pp

Maroons

Blacks Power

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 48.3% DRAW 30.5% AWAY 21.2%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 49.3% 1.85 DRAW 29.9% 3.05 AWAY 20.7% 4.40

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 0.4 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Attacking Edge: Blacks Power

The away side shows the stronger recent attacking profile, while the defensive comparison is less clear.

Attack Recent attacking output

Maroons Blacks Power

Shots 9.5 · On target 3.5 Shots 10.5 · On target 3.8

Recent attacking output is broadly balanced between the two teams.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Maroons Blacks Power

Shots allowed 10.5 · On target allowed 4.3 Shots allowed 11.3 · On target allowed 3.0

Recent defensive numbers are broadly balanced between the two teams.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Maroons Blacks Power

The combined recent performance profile is relatively balanced.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Market broadly stable

Maroons = (0.0%)

Blacks Power ↑ +0.20 (+4.8%)

No substantial directional movement is visible in the stored odds trend.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.