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Uganda Premier League · UG

NEC FC Bugolobi vs Lugazi FC

01 Sep 2026 · 15:00
MARKET CONSENSUS

Home Lean

Home 59.6%
Draw 25.5%
Away 14.9%

Consensus based on 1 bookmakers after removing the bookmaker margin. The leading outcome is ahead by 34.0 percentage points.

PERFORMANCE

Defensive Edge: NEC FC Bugolobi

The home side shows the stronger recent defensive profile, while the attacking comparison is less clear.

Attack Recent attacking output
NEC FC Bugolobi Lugazi FC
Shots 10.8 · On target 3.5 Shots 8.8 · On target 4.0

Recent attacking output is broadly balanced between the two teams.

Defence Recent defensive resistance
NEC FC Bugolobi Lugazi FC
Shots allowed 11.0 · On target allowed 4.5 Shots allowed 14.5 · On target allowed 5.8

NEC FC Bugolobi has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence
NEC FC Bugolobi Lugazi FC

The combined recent performance profile is relatively balanced.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Market broadly stable

NEC FC Bugolobi = (0.0%)
Lugazi FC = (0.0%)

No substantial directional movement is visible in the stored odds trend.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.

STOCHASTIC VIEW

Quantitative context

Performance4 -1.290
Shot rating 22
Shots-on-target rating 3
Qualified model signal None
INTERPRETATION

Home Lean

Market consensus and recent performance point toward the home side, but the StochasticBet model has not generated a qualified signal.

No direct betting recommendation is generated.