Philippines (W) vs Uzbekistan (W)

14 Sep 2026 · 07:00

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +0.5 pp

Philippines (W)

Uzbekistan (W)

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 51.2% DRAW 26.3% AWAY 22.5%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 51.6% 1.87 DRAW 26.4% 3.65 AWAY 21.9% 4.40

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 0.5 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Attacking Edge: Philippines (W)

Recent attacking and defensive numbers do not show a clear overall edge.

Attack Recent attacking output

Philippines (W) Uzbekistan (W)

Shots 10.0 · On target 5.3 Shots 9.5 · On target 2.5

Recent attacking output favours Philippines (W), combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Philippines (W) Uzbekistan (W)

Shots allowed 20.5 · On target allowed 8.0 Shots allowed 15.0 · On target allowed 7.5

Recent defensive numbers are broadly balanced between the two teams.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Philippines (W) Uzbekistan (W)

The combined recent performance profile is relatively balanced.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Away strengthening

Philippines (W) ↑ +0.23 (+14.0%)

Uzbekistan (W) ↓ -0.95 (-17.8%)

The away price has shortened, indicating stronger market support for the away side.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.