North Korea (W) vs Bangladesh (W)

14 Sep 2026 · 09:00

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +1.8 pp

North Korea (W)

Bangladesh (W)

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 95.8% DRAW 2.5% AWAY 1.7%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 93.9% 1.03 DRAW 3.7% 26.00 AWAY 2.4% 41.00

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 1.8 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

North Korea (W) has the stronger recent profile

The home side has the stronger recent profile in both attack and defence.

Attack Recent attacking output

North Korea (W) Bangladesh (W)

Shots 23.0 · On target 10.3 Shots 14.3 · On target 7.3

Recent attacking output favours North Korea (W), combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

North Korea (W) Bangladesh (W)

Shots allowed 2.3 · On target allowed 1.3 Shots allowed 10.8 · On target allowed 5.8

North Korea (W) has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

North Korea (W) Bangladesh (W)

The combined recent performance profile favours North Korea (W).

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Away weakening

North Korea (W) ↓ -0.02 (-1.4%)

Bangladesh (W) ↑ +20.00 (+95.2%)

The away price has moved clearly higher, while the home price has remained broadly stable.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.