Bangladesh (W) vs South Korea (W)

17 Sep 2026 · 09:00

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +0.4 pp

Bangladesh (W)

South Korea (W)

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 0.9% DRAW 1.0% AWAY 98.0%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 1.0% 101.00 DRAW 1.4% 71.00 AWAY 97.6% 1.01

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 0.4 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

South Korea (W) has the stronger recent profile

The away side has the stronger recent profile in both attack and defence.

Attack Recent attacking output

Bangladesh (W) South Korea (W)

Shots 6.8 · On target 3.8 Shots 14.5 · On target 5.0

Recent attacking output favours South Korea (W), combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Bangladesh (W) South Korea (W)

Shots allowed 18.5 · On target allowed 10.3 Shots allowed 13.3 · On target allowed 5.3

South Korea (W) has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Bangladesh (W) South Korea (W)

The combined recent performance profile favours South Korea (W).

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Home weakening

Bangladesh (W) ↑ +60.00 (+146.3%)

South Korea (W) ↑ +0.01 (+0.5%)

The home price has moved clearly higher, while the away price has remained broadly stable.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.