Japan (W) vs Chinese Taipei (W)

21 Sep 2026 · 12:30

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +2.1 pp

Japan (W)

Chinese Taipei (W)

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 96.8% DRAW 2.0% AWAY 1.1%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 94.7% 1.02 DRAW 3.3% 29.00 AWAY 1.9% 50.00

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 2.1 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Japan (W) has the stronger recent profile

The home side has the stronger recent profile in both attack and defence.

Attack Recent attacking output

Japan (W) Chinese Taipei (W)

Shots 22.8 · On target 11.5 Shots 6.3 · On target 3.3

Recent attacking output favours Japan (W), combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Japan (W) Chinese Taipei (W)

Shots allowed 3.3 · On target allowed 1.0 Shots allowed 11.0 · On target allowed 6.3

Japan (W) has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Japan (W) Chinese Taipei (W)

The combined recent performance profile favours Japan (W).

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Away strengthening

Japan (W) ↑ +0.02 (+1.5%)

Chinese Taipei (W) ↓ -50.00 (-50.0%)

The away price has shortened, indicating stronger market support for the away side.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.