Vietnam (W) vs Japan (W)

17 Sep 2026 · 12:30

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +0.5 pp

Vietnam (W)

Japan (W)

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 0.9% DRAW 1.2% AWAY 97.9%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 1.0% 100.00 DRAW 1.6% 60.00 AWAY 97.4% 1.01

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 0.5 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Attacking Edge: Japan (W)

The away side shows the stronger recent attacking profile, while the defensive comparison is less clear.

Attack Recent attacking output

Vietnam (W) Japan (W)

Shots 1.5 · On target 1.3 Shots 18.5 · On target 8.5

Recent attacking output favours Japan (W), combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Vietnam (W) Japan (W)

Shots allowed 2.8 · On target allowed 1.8 Shots allowed 5.3 · On target allowed 2.3

Vietnam (W) has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Vietnam (W) Japan (W)

The combined recent performance profile favours Japan (W).

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Market broadly stable

Vietnam (W) = (0.0%)

Japan (W) ↑ +0.01 (+1.1%)

No substantial directional movement is visible in the stored odds trend.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.