Japan (W) vs Thailand (W)

14 Sep 2026 · 12:30

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +0.3 pp

Japan (W)

Thailand (W)

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 94.2% DRAW 4.8% AWAY 1.0%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 93.9% 1.03 DRAW 5.1% 19.00 AWAY 1.0% 100.00

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 0.3 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Attacking Edge: Japan (W)

The home side shows the stronger recent attacking profile, while the defensive comparison is less clear.

Attack Recent attacking output

Japan (W) Thailand (W)

Shots 12.3 · On target 5.0 Shots 10.5 · On target 4.8

Recent attacking output is broadly balanced between the two teams.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Japan (W) Thailand (W)

Shots allowed 9.0 · On target allowed 4.0 Shots allowed 13.5 · On target allowed 3.8

Recent defensive numbers are broadly balanced between the two teams.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Japan (W) Thailand (W)

The combined recent performance profile is relatively balanced.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Market broadly stable

Japan (W) ↑ +0.03 (+2.9%)

Thailand (W) = (0.0%)

No substantial directional movement is visible in the stored odds trend.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.