Uzbekistan (W) vs China PR (W)

17 Sep 2026 · 07:00

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +1.5 pp

Uzbekistan (W)

China PR (W)

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 2.7% DRAW 5.4% AWAY 91.9%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 3.1% 31.00 DRAW 6.5% 15.00 AWAY 90.4% 1.07

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 1.5 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

China PR (W) has the stronger recent profile

The away side has the stronger recent profile in both attack and defence.

Attack Recent attacking output

Uzbekistan (W) China PR (W)

Shots 13.0 · On target 4.0 Shots 21.3 · On target 7.3

Recent attacking output favours China PR (W), combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Uzbekistan (W) China PR (W)

Shots allowed 11.5 · On target allowed 5.0 Shots allowed 4.8 · On target allowed 2.3

China PR (W) has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Uzbekistan (W) China PR (W)

The combined recent performance profile favours China PR (W).

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Home strengthening

Uzbekistan (W) ↓ -5.00 (-13.9%)

China PR (W) ↓ 0.00 (-0.1%)

The home price has shortened, indicating stronger market support for the home side.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.