PSPS Pekanbaru vs Persiraja Aceh

19 Sep 2026 · 10:30

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +1.1 pp

PSPS Pekanbaru

Persiraja Aceh

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 44.6% DRAW 26.9% AWAY 28.5%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 45.6% 2.02 DRAW 27.1% 3.40 AWAY 27.4% 3.37

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 1.1 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Persiraja Aceh has the stronger recent profile

The away side has the stronger recent profile in both attack and defence.

Attack Recent attacking output

PSPS Pekanbaru Persiraja Aceh

Shots 7.3 · On target 3.3 Shots 7.8 · On target 3.5

Recent attacking output is broadly balanced between the two teams.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

PSPS Pekanbaru Persiraja Aceh

Shots allowed 7.0 · On target allowed 3.8 Shots allowed 4.8 · On target allowed 2.3

Persiraja Aceh has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

PSPS Pekanbaru Persiraja Aceh

The combined recent performance profile favours Persiraja Aceh.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Away strengthening

PSPS Pekanbaru ↑ +0.22 (+12.2%)

Persiraja Aceh ↓ -0.68 (-16.8%)

The away price has shortened, indicating stronger market support for the away side.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.