PSIS Semarang vs PSPS Pekanbaru

11 Sep 2026 · 14:00

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +0.9 pp

PSIS Semarang

PSPS Pekanbaru

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 50.8% DRAW 26.8% AWAY 22.4%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 51.7% 1.76 DRAW 26.8% 3.40 AWAY 21.5% 4.24

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 0.9 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Attacking Edge: PSIS Semarang

The away side shows the stronger recent defensive profile, while the attacking comparison is less clear.

Attack Recent attacking output

PSIS Semarang PSPS Pekanbaru

Shots 9.8 · On target 3.8 Shots 4.5 · On target 2.0

Recent attacking output favours PSIS Semarang, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

PSIS Semarang PSPS Pekanbaru

Shots allowed 12.0 · On target allowed 3.5 Shots allowed 3.3 · On target allowed 1.8

PSPS Pekanbaru has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

PSIS Semarang PSPS Pekanbaru

The combined recent performance profile is relatively balanced.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Market broadly stable

PSIS Semarang ↓ -0.04 (-2.2%)

PSPS Pekanbaru ↑ +0.24 (+5.9%)

No substantial directional movement is visible in the stored odds trend.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.