Persipura Jayapura vs Kendal Tornado

18 Sep 2026 · 10:30

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +2.4 pp

Persipura Jayapura

Kendal Tornado

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 47.9% DRAW 27.2% AWAY 24.8%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 45.6% 2.05 DRAW 27.7% 3.37 AWAY 26.7% 3.50

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 2.4 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Attacking Edge: Persipura Jayapura

Recent attacking and defensive numbers do not show a clear overall edge.

Attack Recent attacking output

Persipura Jayapura Kendal Tornado

Shots 15.5 · On target 1.8 Shots 5.0 · On target 1.8

Recent attacking output favours Persipura Jayapura, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Persipura Jayapura Kendal Tornado

Shots allowed 7.5 · On target allowed 2.0 Shots allowed 4.8 · On target allowed 1.3

Kendal Tornado has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Persipura Jayapura Kendal Tornado

The combined recent performance profile is relatively balanced.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Home strengthening

Persipura Jayapura ↓ -0.27 (-11.6%)

Kendal Tornado ↑ +0.80 (+29.6%)

The home price has shortened, indicating stronger market support for the home side.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.