RANS Nusantara vs Persiba Balikpapan

13 Sep 2026 · 10:30

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +0.2 pp

RANS Nusantara

Persiba Balikpapan

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 51.4% DRAW 26.0% AWAY 22.6%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 51.4% 1.80 DRAW 26.3% 3.52 AWAY 22.4% 4.13

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 0.2 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Mixed Performance

Recent attacking and defensive numbers do not show a clear overall edge.

Attack Recent attacking output

RANS Nusantara Persiba Balikpapan

Shots 7.8 · On target 2.8 Shots 4.8 · On target 3.0

Recent attacking output is broadly balanced between the two teams.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

RANS Nusantara Persiba Balikpapan

Shots allowed 14.3 · On target allowed 1.3 Shots allowed 6.8 · On target allowed 4.5

RANS Nusantara has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

RANS Nusantara Persiba Balikpapan

The combined recent performance profile favours RANS Nusantara.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Home strengthening

RANS Nusantara ↓ -0.11 (-5.7%)

Persiba Balikpapan ↑ +0.73 (+21.5%)

The home price has shortened, indicating stronger market support for the home side.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.