Lokomotiv 1929 Sofia vs Ludogorets Razgrad

06 Sep 2026 · 20:15

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +1.2 pp

Lokomotiv 1929 Sofia

Ludogorets Razgrad

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 14.9% DRAW 20.8% AWAY 64.3%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 15.5% 6.25 DRAW 21.5% 4.50 AWAY 63.1% 1.53

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 1.2 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Ludogorets Razgrad has the stronger recent profile

The away side has the stronger recent profile in both attack and defence.

Attack Recent attacking output

Lokomotiv 1929 Sofia Ludogorets Razgrad

Shots 13.5 · On target 5.3 Shots 14.0 · On target 5.3

Recent attacking output is broadly balanced between the two teams.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Lokomotiv 1929 Sofia Ludogorets Razgrad

Shots allowed 12.3 · On target allowed 7.3 Shots allowed 8.3 · On target allowed 3.0

Ludogorets Razgrad has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Lokomotiv 1929 Sofia Ludogorets Razgrad

The combined recent performance profile favours Ludogorets Razgrad.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Market broadly stable

Lokomotiv 1929 Sofia ↑ +0.87 (+16.2%)

Ludogorets Razgrad ↓ -0.07 (-4.2%)

No substantial directional movement is visible in the stored odds trend.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.