Levski Sofia vs CSKA 1948 Sofia

05 Sep 2026 · 20:15

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +1.3 pp

Levski Sofia

CSKA 1948 Sofia

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 62.9% DRAW 24.1% AWAY 13.0%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 61.6% 1.53 DRAW 24.6% 3.84 AWAY 13.9% 6.81

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 1.3 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Attacking Edge: Levski Sofia

The home side shows the stronger recent attacking profile, while the defensive comparison is less clear.

Attack Recent attacking output

Levski Sofia CSKA 1948 Sofia

Shots 13.8 · On target 5.5 Shots 10.3 · On target 4.5

Recent attacking output favours Levski Sofia, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Levski Sofia CSKA 1948 Sofia

Shots allowed 9.5 · On target allowed 3.3 Shots allowed 9.5 · On target allowed 5.0

Levski Sofia has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Levski Sofia CSKA 1948 Sofia

The combined recent performance profile favours Levski Sofia.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Home strengthening

Levski Sofia ↓ -0.12 (-7.1%)

CSKA 1948 Sofia ↑ +1.75 (+34.6%)

The home price has shortened, indicating stronger market support for the home side.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.