Septemvri Sofia vs Botev Vratsa

04 Sep 2026 · 18:00

OPPORTUNITY

Septemvri Sofia

Botev Vratsa

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 36.0% DRAW 31.4% AWAY 32.6%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 36.2% 2.74 DRAW 31.0% 3.20 AWAY 32.8% 3.03

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 0.0 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Attacking Edge: Botev Vratsa

Recent attacking and defensive numbers do not show a clear overall edge.

Attack Recent attacking output

Septemvri Sofia Botev Vratsa

Shots 6.3 · On target 3.5 Shots 11.0 · On target 4.3

Recent attacking output favours Botev Vratsa, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Septemvri Sofia Botev Vratsa

Shots allowed 10.0 · On target allowed 4.0 Shots allowed 10.8 · On target allowed 6.5

Septemvri Sofia has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Septemvri Sofia Botev Vratsa

The combined recent performance profile is relatively balanced.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Home weakening

Septemvri Sofia ↑ +0.28 (+11.4%)

Botev Vratsa ↑ +0.03 (+0.8%)

The home price has moved clearly higher, while the away price has remained broadly stable.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.