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Australia Tasmania Premier League · AU

South Hobart vs Kingborough Lions

29 Aug 2026 · 06:00
MARKET CONSENSUS

Home Lean

Home 49.3%
Draw 24.8%
Away 25.9%

Consensus based on 5 bookmakers after removing the bookmaker margin. The leading outcome is ahead by 23.4 percentage points.

PERFORMANCE

Attacking Edge: South Hobart

The home side shows the stronger recent attacking profile, while the defensive comparison is less clear.

Attack

South Hobart Kingborough Lions
Shots / match 15.8 11.8
On target / match 8.5 5.5

Defence

South Hobart Kingborough Lions
Shots allowed / match 5.5 5.8
On target allowed / match 2.8 2.5

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Home strengthening

South Hobart ↓ -0.15 (-7.5%)
Kingborough Lions ↑ +0.98 (+35.6%)

The home price has shortened, indicating stronger market support for the home side.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.

STOCHASTIC VIEW

Quantitative context

Performance4 -1.358
Shot rating 17
Shots-on-target rating 11
Qualified model signal None
INTERPRETATION

Home Lean

Market consensus and recent performance point toward the home side, but the StochasticBet model has not generated a qualified signal.

No direct betting recommendation is generated.