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France Ligue 1 · FR

Monaco vs Marseille

30 Aug 2026 · 20:45
MARKET CONSENSUS

Home Lean

Home 43.0%
Draw 27.4%
Away 29.6%

Consensus based on 5 bookmakers after removing the bookmaker margin. The leading outcome is ahead by 13.4 percentage points.

PERFORMANCE

Marseille has the stronger recent profile

The away side has the stronger recent profile in both attack and defence.

Attack Recent attacking output
Monaco Marseille
Shots 12.8 · On target 4.3 Shots 14.8 · On target 8.8

Recent attacking output favours Marseille, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance
Monaco Marseille
Shots allowed 11.8 · On target allowed 5.0 Shots allowed 7.3 · On target allowed 2.3

Marseille has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence
Monaco Marseille

The combined recent performance profile favours Marseille.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Home strengthening

Monaco ↓ -0.26 (-10.2%)
Marseille ↑ +0.63 (+23.2%)

The home price has shortened, indicating stronger market support for the home side.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.

STOCHASTIC VIEW

Quantitative context

Performance4 -0.148
Shot rating -26
Shots-on-target rating -29
Qualified model signal None
INTERPRETATION

Unclear

Market and recent performance do not provide a clear common direction.

No direct betting recommendation is generated.