Peru Liga 1
·
PE
Alianza Lima vs Deportivo Garcilaso
30 Aug 2026 · 02:30
MARKET CONSENSUS
Strong Home Lean
Home
70.4%
Draw
20.8%
Away
8.8%
Consensus based on 5 bookmakers after removing the bookmaker margin. The leading outcome is ahead by 49.6 percentage points.
PERFORMANCE
Alianza Lima has the stronger recent profile
The home side has the stronger recent profile in both attack and defence.
Attack
| Alianza Lima | Deportivo Garcilaso | |
|---|---|---|
| Shots / match | 17.0 | 12.3 |
| On target / match | 6.5 | 3.5 |
Defence
| Alianza Lima | Deportivo Garcilaso | |
|---|---|---|
| Shots allowed / match | 8.3 | 10.5 |
| On target allowed / match | 3.0 | 3.0 |
Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.
MARKET MOVEMENT
Away weakening
Alianza Lima
↓ -0.04
(-2.8%)
Deportivo Garcilaso
↑ +1.10
(+10.2%)
The away price has moved clearly higher, while the home price has remained broadly stable.
Latest movement from the stored odds trend.
STOCHASTIC VIEW
Quantitative context
Performance4
-1.516
Shot rating
28
Shots-on-target rating
12
Qualified model signal
None
INTERPRETATION
Home Lean
Market consensus and recent performance point toward the home side, but the StochasticBet model has not generated a qualified signal.
No direct betting recommendation is generated.